Wallace, 2000: Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. A proud University of Washington alumna, with degrees in broadcast journalism and American ethnic studies, she started her career as a news writer in Seattle, before becoming a reporter and anchor in Seattle, Portland and Albuquerque. The AO is a measurement of surface air pressure at the high latitudes over and north of Greenland. Storm Team4 Chief Meteorologist Doug Kammerer predicts when we'll get the coldest weather of the season. 2020-2021 winter outlook | 2020-2021 winter outlook recap, 2019-2020 winter outlook | 2019-2020 winter outlook recap, 2018-2019 winter outlook | 2018-2019 winter outlook recap, 2017-2018 winter outlook | 2017-2018 winter outlook recap, 2016-2017 winter outlook | 2016-2017 winter outlook recap, 2015-2016 winter outlook | 2015-2016 winter outlook recap, 2014-2015 winter outlook | 2014-2015 winter outlook recap, 2013-2014 winter outlook | 2013-2014 winter outlook recap, 2012-2013 winter outlook | 2012-2013 winter outlook recap, 2011-2012 winter outlook | 2011-2012 winter outlook recap, 2010-2011 winter outlook | 2010-2011 winter outlook live chat | 2010-2011 winter outlook recap, 2009-2010 winter outlook | 2009-2010 winter outlook recap, 2008-2009 winter outlook | 2008-2009 outlook live chat | 2008-2009 winter outlook recap, 2007-2008 winter outlook | 2007-2008 winter outlook recap, Local guides, travel tips and the latest industry news, Brace for a wild winter in Washington, but its no thrill for snow lovers. This was based upon recent trends over the past decade. Could Disney move out of Florida? This U.S. Winter Outlook 2021-2022 map for temperature shows warmer-than-average conditions across the South and most of the eastern U.S., while below average temperatures are favored for southeast Alaska and the Pacific Northwest eastward to the Northern Plains. Since 1970, the average winter temperature has risen between 3 and 5 degrees across the region. In the South and Southeast, where the signal is strongest, we see a clear shift in activity with the ENSO phase, but with a tremendous range of variability, meaning some El Nio years still have high severe weather activity, and some La Nia years are relatively inactive. Measures of these tornado-friendly ingredients can be combined into indexes that are less noisy than actual tornado reports and let us see how the phases of ENSO make the environment more or less favorable for severe weather (footnote 1). Baldwin, 2002: Atmospheric Processes Governing the Northern Hemisphere Annular Mode/North Atlantic Oscillation. The Arctic Oscillation (AO) refers to an atmospheric circulation pattern over the mid-to-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. Weather Radio Nick Bond: Well they claim that they're 80% accurate. Its calling for above average temperatures and below-average snowfall (5 to 13 inches), in line with everyone elses expectations. Notably, the forecast calls for: The Great Lakes and Northeast can expect potent winter storms heavy snow, rain or a wintry mix of both during the second week of January, the final week of February and the second week of March. Toddler Shot, Taken To Tukwila Fire Station: Police, Suspected Arsonist Arrested Following Massive Marina Fire In Seattle, 30 Boats Destroyed In Seattle Fire Near Ship Canal Bridge, Virtual Diversity Career Fair for the Pacific NW: Seattle | Portland | Vancouver, Jewish Day Schools Just Got More Affordable, Seattle Job Listings: See Who's Hiring In The Area, Seattle Area Prospective Homeowners: 3 New Homes On The Market, How Gas Taxes In Washington Compare To Other States, Seattle Area Pets Waiting To Be Adopted: Dobi, Koby, Dutches & More, 8 WA Billionaires Make Forbes 400 List Of Super Rich, When Does The 1st Frost Usually Occur In WA: How To Protect Plants. Preparedness (En Espanol) The more vigorous storm track and slight tilt toward colder temperatures over the northern tier of the U.S. during La Nia modestly increase the chance of a relatively snowy winter.